← Major League Baseball 2026 · Fri, Sep 25, 11:40 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Michael McGreevy (ERA 3.84, WHIP 1.25) · home: Robert Gasser (ERA 4.01, WHIP 1.24)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.58 | Portfolio | $11.56 | 1.58 | $6.70 | +4% | +6.70 | won |
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.55 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.55 | $5.47 | +9% | +5.47 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 61% | 1.60 |
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 39% | 2.73 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 2.40 | 2.73 | +13.9% | |
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 1.57 | 1.48 | -5.8% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | — | 8 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Milwaukee Brewers | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1598.16 | 1480.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.72 | -1.13 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.07 | 1.30 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.30 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.00 |