← Major League Baseball 2026 · Thu, Sep 17, 01:38 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: George Kirby (ERA 4.25, WHIP 1.36) · home: Yusei Kikuchi (ERA 4.75, WHIP 1.49)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Angels win in Los Angeles Angels v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.18 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.18 | $11.80 | +4% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners win | 56% | 1.79 |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 44% | 34.00 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners win | 1.73 | 1.32 | -24.1% | |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 1.93 | 18.17 | +840.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Angels | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1428.59 | 1475.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.31 | -2.72 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.40 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.20 |