← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Sep 19, 12:10 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Bryan Woo (ERA 3.88, WHIP 1.05)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colorado Rockies win in Colorado Rockies v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.52 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.52 | $15.22 | +4% | -10.00 | lost |
Colorado Rockies win in Colorado Rockies v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.40 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.40 | $13.99 | -1% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners win | 58% | 1.70 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 42% | 2.81 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners win | 1.65 | 1.46 | -11.5% | |
| Colorado Rockies win | 2.24 | 2.81 | +25.7% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Colorado Rockies | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colorado Rockies | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1376.12 | 1479.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.98 | 3.27 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.21 | 1.94 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 7.50 | 4.00 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.70 |