← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Sep 19, 02:15 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Cesar Perdomo (ERA 3.68, WHIP 1.36) · home: Tyler Glasnow (ERA 3.5, WHIP 0.97)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Francisco Giants win in Los Angeles Dodgers v San Francisco Giants · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.57 | Steam confusion | $10.00 | 3.57 | $25.70 | +6% | -10.00 | lost |
leg 1: San Francisco Giants win in Los Angeles Dodgers v San Francisco Giants · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.80 lost leg 2: St. Louis Cardinals win in St. Louis Cardinals v Washington Nationals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.83 lost leg 3: Texas Rangers win in Texas Rangers v Toronto Blue Jays · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.09 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 14.54 | $27.08 | +29% | -2.00 | lost |
San Francisco Giants win in Los Angeles Dodgers v San Francisco Giants · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.80 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 3.80 | $28.00 | +10% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 73% | 1.50 |
| San Francisco Giants win | 27% | 101.00 |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants win | 3.66 | 52.26 | +1329.2% | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 1.35 | 1.17 | -13.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | — | 8 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Dodgers | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1584.07 | 1467.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.41 | 1.63 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.40 | 2.38 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.50 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.80 |