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MLS fixtures sim 2026-08-07 (autopilot)

← all runs · poisson_tw v2 · 10,000 iterations · seed 424242 · as of 2026-08-07

Who wins each match

DateStageMatchHomeDrawAway3+ goalsBTTS
8/8/2026regularNew England Revolution v Houston Dynamo
42.0%
26.7%
31.2%
50%54%
8/15/2026regularOrlando City SC v FC Cincinnati
45.2%
21.6%
33.2%
74%73%
8/15/2026regularToronto FC v New England Revolution
39.0%
27.3%
33.7%
48%53%
8/15/2026regularAtlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls
40.0%
25.8%
34.2%
55%59%
8/15/2026regularCF Montreal v DC United
47.2%
24.9%
27.9%
56%59%
8/15/2026regularCharlotte v Columbus Crew
42.2%
25.9%
31.9%
54%57%
8/16/2026regularHouston Dynamo v Los Angeles Galaxy
47.7%
24.7%
27.6%
57%59%
8/16/2026regularNashville SC v Inter Miami
44.1%
23.1%
32.8%
67%67%
8/16/2026regularReal Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC
44.1%
26.5%
29.5%
50%55%
8/16/2026regularColorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City
58.7%
21.2%
20.1%
65%62%
8/16/2026regularSan Jose Earthquakes v St. Louis City
50.5%
22.7%
26.8%
65%65%
8/16/2026regularLos Angeles FC v San Diego
54.7%
22.8%
22.6%
61%60%
8/16/2026regularNew York City FC v Philadelphia Union
45.3%
26.1%
28.5%
51%55%
8/16/2026regularChicago Fire v Portland Timbers
48.8%
22.5%
28.7%
67%67%
8/17/2026regularAustin v FC Dallas
35.0%
26.1%
39.0%
54%58%
8/17/2026regularSeattle Sounders v Vancouver Whitecaps
36.6%
26.9%
36.5%
50%55%
8/19/2026regularOrlando City SC v Chicago Fire
47.5%
22.0%
30.5%
71%70%
8/19/2026regularPhiladelphia Union v Inter Miami
41.6%
22.1%
36.3%
72%72%
8/19/2026regularToronto FC v Charlotte
33.8%
28.1%
38.1%
45%51%
8/19/2026regularNew York Red Bulls v Nashville SC
35.2%
26.8%
38.0%
50%55%
8/19/2026regularColumbus Crew v CF Montreal
63.5%
20.5%
16.1%
61%56%
8/19/2026regularDC United v New England Revolution
37.8%
25.7%
36.5%
56%59%
8/19/2026regularFC Cincinnati v New York City FC
45.2%
24.2%
30.7%
61%63%
8/20/2026regularSporting Kansas City v St. Louis City
35.7%
24.2%
40.1%
62%64%
8/20/2026regularMinnesota United FC v Atlanta United FC
56.2%
23.8%
20.0%
53%53%
8/20/2026regularSeattle Sounders v Austin
57.7%
24.0%
18.3%
50%50%
8/20/2026regularReal Salt Lake v FC Dallas
44.1%
25.4%
30.5%
55%58%
8/20/2026regularColorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC
27.1%
25.0%
47.9%
55%58%
8/20/2026regularVancouver Whitecaps v Houston Dynamo
60.3%
22.3%
17.4%
56%53%
8/20/2026regularLos Angeles Galaxy v San Jose Earthquakes
47.6%
22.2%
30.1%
69%69%
8/20/2026regularPortland Timbers v San Diego
38.6%
23.6%
37.7%
65%66%
8/22/2026regularOrlando City SC v Real Salt Lake
45.8%
23.6%
30.6%
63%64%
8/22/2026regularNew York Red Bulls v Chicago Fire
44.1%
23.9%
32.0%
63%64%
8/22/2026regularCF Montreal v Los Angeles Galaxy
37.3%
24.7%
38.0%
60%63%
8/22/2026regularFC Cincinnati v Seattle Sounders
44.4%
24.5%
31.0%
59%61%
8/22/2026regularInter Miami v Toronto FC
71.2%
16.4%
12.5%
72%61%
8/22/2026regularCharlotte v DC United
59.6%
22.3%
18.1%
56%54%

Specthe reproducible recipe — same spec + seed = identical run

{
  "to": "2026-08-23",
  "from": "2026-08-07",
  "kind": "fixtures",
  "name": "MLS fixtures sim 2026-08-07 (autopilot)",
  "as_of": "2026-08-07",
  "model": {
    "shrinkage": 2
  },
  "competition": "MLS"
}