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Seattle Sounders v Austin

← Major League Soccer 2026 · Thu, Aug 20, 01:30 AM UTC · scheduled

Riding on this matchevery paper bet with a leg in this game

BetStrategyStakeOddsTo winModel edgeP&LStatus
No in Seattle Sounders v Austin · Both teams to score @ 2.20
Main (your slate bets)$15.132.20$18.16+12%—pending
Under in Seattle Sounders v Austin · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.25
Main (your slate bets)$15.132.25$18.91+13%—pending

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins? (90 minutes)

OutcomeMarket saysModel saysBest priceVerdict
Seattle Sounders win57%58%1.67fair
Draw23%24%4.10fair
Austin win20%18%4.90fair

across 7 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will there be 3 or more goals?

OutcomeMarket saysModel saysBest priceVerdict
Over58%50%1.62fair
Under42%50%2.35value: +17%

across 6 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will both teams score?

OutcomeMarket saysModel saysBest priceVerdict
Yes57%50%1.65fair
No43%50%2.22value: +11%

across 6 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Everything else we hold on this match · 1 more recorded fact — tap to expand
venueLumen Field