← Major League Soccer 2026 · Thu, Aug 20, 01:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No in Real Salt Lake v FC Dallas · Both teams to score @ 2.50 | Main (your slate bets) | $4.58 | 2.50 | $6.87 | +4% | — | pending |
leg 1: Orlando City SC win in Orlando City SC v Chicago Fire · Match result @ 2.87 leg 2: Toronto Blue Jays win in Tampa Bay Rays v Toronto Blue Jays · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.08 leg 3: FC Dallas win in Real Salt Lake v FC Dallas · Match result @ 4.00 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 35.33 | $68.65 | +115% | — | pending |
Draw in Real Salt Lake v FC Dallas · Match result @ 4.00 | Dutch cover | $2.50 | 4.00 | $7.50 | — | — | pending |
FC Dallas win in Real Salt Lake v FC Dallas · Match result @ 4.00 | Dutch cover | $17.50 | 4.00 | $52.50 | +22% | — | pending |
FC Dallas win in Real Salt Lake v FC Dallas · Match result @ 4.00 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 4.00 | $15.00 | +22% | — | pending |
Draw in Real Salt Lake v FC Dallas · Match result @ 4.00 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.00 | $15.00 | +2% | — | pending |
FC Dallas win in Real Salt Lake v FC Dallas · Match result @ 4.00 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.00 | $15.00 | +22% | — | pending |
Under in Real Salt Lake v FC Dallas · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.40 | Main (your slate bets) | $10.52 | 2.40 | $14.73 | +8% | — | pending |
FC Dallas win in Real Salt Lake v FC Dallas · Match result @ 3.75 | Main (your slate bets) | $10.22 | 3.75 | $28.11 | +15% | — | pending |
FC Dallas win in Real Salt Lake v FC Dallas · Match result @ 4.00 | Portfolio | $8.23 | 4.00 | $24.69 | +10% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake win | 50% | 44% | 1.96 | fair |
| FC Dallas win | 26% | 31% | 4.05 | value: +24% |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | 4.10 | value: +4% |
across 16 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 55% | 1.53 | fair |
| Under | 37% | 45% | 2.60 | value: +16% |
across 6 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says |
|---|
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas win | 3.50 | 3.75 | +7.1% | |
| Draw | 3.98 | 3.77 | -5.2% | |
| Real Salt Lake win | 1.84 | 1.90 | +3.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | America First Field |
| Model says |
|---|
| Best price |
|---|
| Verdict |
|---|
| Yes | 63% | 58% | 1.50 | fair |
| No | 37% | 42% | 2.55 | value: +6% |
across 6 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)