← Major League Soccer 2026 · Wed, Aug 19, 11:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Orlando City SC win in Orlando City SC v Chicago Fire · Match result @ 2.87 leg 2: Toronto Blue Jays win in Tampa Bay Rays v Toronto Blue Jays · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.08 leg 3: FC Dallas win in Real Salt Lake v FC Dallas · Match result @ 4.00 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 35.33 | $68.65 | +115% | — | pending |
Draw in Orlando City SC v Chicago Fire · Match result @ 4.00 | Dutch cover | $2.50 | 4.00 | $7.50 | — | — | pending |
Orlando City SC win in Orlando City SC v Chicago Fire · Match result @ 2.87 | Dutch cover | $17.50 | 2.87 | $32.73 | +36% | — | pending |
Orlando City SC win in Orlando City SC v Chicago Fire · Match result @ 2.87 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 2.87 | $9.35 | +36% | — | pending |
Orlando City SC win in Orlando City SC v Chicago Fire · Match result @ 2.87 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 2.87 | $9.35 | — | — | pending |
Orlando City SC win in Orlando City SC v Chicago Fire · Match result @ 2.87 | Portfolio | $21.65 | 2.87 | $40.49 | +16% | — | pending |
Orlando City SC win in Orlando City SC v Chicago Fire · Match result @ 3.25 | Main (your slate bets) | $17.51 | 3.25 | $39.40 | +55% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire win | 43% | 30% | 2.28 | fair |
| Orlando City SC win | 33% | 48% | 3.30 | value: +57% |
| Draw | 24% | 22% | 4.20 | fair |
across 16 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 70% | 71% | 1.37 | fair |
| Under | 30% | 29% | 3.30 | fair |
across 6 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says |
|---|
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire win | 1.96 | 2.20 | +12.2% | |
| Draw | 4.00 | 3.90 | -2.5% | |
| Orlando City SC win | 3.21 | 2.80 | -12.8% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Exploria Stadium |
| Model says |
|---|
| Best price |
|---|
| Verdict |
|---|
| Yes | 69% | 70% | 1.36 | fair |
| No | 31% | 30% | 3.05 | fair |
across 6 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)