← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Aug 16, 01:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw in Colorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 4.85 | Dutch cover | $2.06 | 4.85 | $7.93 | — | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Colorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 5.75 | Dutch cover | $17.94 | 5.75 | $85.22 | +16% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Colorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 5.75 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 5.75 | $23.75 | +16% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Colorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 5.75 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 5.75 | $23.75 | — | — | pending |
Draw in Colorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 4.85 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.85 | $19.25 | +3% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Colorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 5.75 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 5.75 | $23.75 | +16% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Colorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 7.00 | Main (your slate bets) | $18.18 | 7.00 | $109.08 | +39% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Colorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 5.75 | Portfolio | $3.27 | 5.75 | $15.53 | +6% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids win | 65% | 59% | 1.51 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 21% | 5.50 | value: +16% |
| Sporting Kansas City win | 16% | 20% | 7.50 | value: +51% |
across 15 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 65% | 1.45 | fair |
| Under | 33% | 35% | 2.88 | fair |
across 4 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says |
|---|
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City win | 7.50 | 5.75 | -23.3% | |
| Draw | 5.50 | 4.80 | -12.7% | |
| Colorado Rapids win | 1.31 | 1.48 | +13.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Dick's Sporting Goods Park |
| Model says |
|---|
| Best price |
|---|
| Verdict |
|---|
| Yes | 58% | 62% | 1.62 | fair |
| No | 42% | 38% | 2.25 | fair |
across 5 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)