β Major League Soccer 2026 Β· Thu, Aug 20, 12:00 AM UTC Β· scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sporting Kansas City win in Sporting Kansas City v St. Louis City Β· Match result @ 3.25 | Main (your slate bets) | $14.08 | 3.25 | $31.68 | +14% | β | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City win | 47% | 40% | 2.05 | fair |
| Sporting Kansas City win | 29% | 36% | 3.35 | value: +19% |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 3.90 | fair |
across 7 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 62% | 1.50 | fair |
| Under | 37% | 38% | 2.65 | fair |
across 6 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64% | 64% | 1.45 | fair |
| No | 36% | 36% | 2.67 | fair |
across 6 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| venue | Children's Mercy Park |