← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sat, Aug 22, 11:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Draw in Orlando City SC v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.27 leg 2: Sporting Kansas City win in Atlanta United FC v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 4.60 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 19.64 | $93.21 | +12% | — | pending |
Draw in Orlando City SC v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.27 | Dutch cover | $2.34 | 4.27 | $7.65 | — | — | pending |
Real Salt Lake win in Orlando City SC v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 3.55 | Dutch cover | $17.66 | 3.55 | $45.03 | +9% | — | pending |
Orlando City SC win in Orlando City SC v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 1.92 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 1.92 | $4.60 | — | — | pending |
Draw in Orlando City SC v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.27 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.27 | $16.35 | +1% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC win | 48% | 46% | 2.35 | value: +8% |
| Real Salt Lake win | 29% | 31% | 3.70 | value: +13% |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | 4.30 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake win | 2.55 | 3.35 | +31.4% | |
| Draw | 3.90 | 4.10 | +5.1% | |
| Orlando City SC win | 2.35 | 1.95 | -17.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Exploria Stadium |