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Seattle Sounders v Vancouver Whitecaps

← Major League Soccer 2026 · Mon, Aug 17, 01:00 AM UTC · scheduled

Riding on this matchevery paper bet with a leg in this game

BetStrategyStakeOddsTo winModel edgeP&LStatus
Seattle Sounders win in Seattle Sounders v Vancouver Whitecaps · Match result @ 2.88
Main (your slate bets)$5.332.88$10.02+4%—pending
No in Seattle Sounders v Vancouver Whitecaps · Both teams to score @ 2.50
Main (your slate bets)$19.642.50$29.46+14%—pending
Under in Seattle Sounders v Vancouver Whitecaps · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.35
Main (your slate bets)$19.642.35$26.51+19%—pending

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins? (90 minutes)

OutcomeMarket saysModel saysBest priceVerdict
Vancouver Whitecaps win42%37%2.25fair
Seattle Sounders win33%37%2.88value: +5%
Draw25%27%3.80fair

across 4 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will there be 3 or more goals?

OutcomeMarket saysModel saysBest priceVerdict
Over60%50%1.58fair
Under40%50%2.35value: +17%

across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will both teams score?

OutcomeMarket saysModel saysBest priceVerdict
Yes62%55%1.50fair
No38%45%2.50value: +13%

across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Everything else we hold on this match · 1 more recorded fact — tap to expand
venueLumen Field