← Major League Soccer 2026 · Thu, Aug 20, 02:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Under in Portland Timbers v San Diego · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.10 | Main (your slate bets) | $5.93 | 3.10 | $12.45 | +8% | — | pending |
San Diego win in Portland Timbers v San Diego · Match result @ 3.20 | Main (your slate bets) | $15.13 | 3.20 | $33.29 | +22% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers win | 47% | 39% | 2.02 | fair |
| San Diego win | 30% | 38% | 3.30 | value: +24% |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | 4.20 | fair |
across 7 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 70% | 65% | 1.38 | fair |
| Under | 30% | 35% | 3.30 | value: +16% |
across 6 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 69% | 66% | 1.36 | fair |
| No | 31% | 34% | 3.10 | value: +5% |
across 6 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| venue | Providence Park |