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Houston Dynamo v Los Angeles Galaxy

← Major League Soccer 2026 Β· Sun, Aug 16, 12:30 AM UTC Β· scheduled

Riding on this matchevery paper bet with a leg in this game

BetStrategyStakeOddsTo winModel edgeP&LStatus
Los Angeles Galaxy win in Houston Dynamo v Los Angeles Galaxy Β· Match result @ 4.50
Main (your slate bets)$19.304.50$67.55+24%β€”pending

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

β€œMarket” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin β€” the world's best guess. β€œModel” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) β€” it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins? (90 minutes)

OutcomeMarket saysModel saysBest priceVerdict
Houston Dynamo win56%48%1.70fair
Draw23%25%4.10fair
Los Angeles Galaxy win20%28%4.90value: +35%

across 6 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will there be 3 or more goals?

OutcomeMarket saysModel saysBest priceVerdict
Over58%57%1.65fair
Under42%43%2.30fair

across 4 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will both teams score?

OutcomeMarket saysModel saysBest priceVerdict
Yes57%59%1.65fair
No43%41%2.20fair

across 5 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Everything else we hold on this match Β· 1 more recorded fact β€” tap to expand
venueShell Energy Stadium