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MLS fixtures sim 2026-07-26 (autopilot)

← all runs · poisson_tw v2 · 10,000 iterations · seed 424242 · as of 2026-07-26

Who wins each match

DateStageMatchHomeDrawAway3+ goalsBTTS
7/26/2026regularHouston Dynamo v Austin
49.4%
25.7%
24.9%
49%52%
7/26/2026regularMinnesota United FC v Vancouver Whitecaps
34.2%
25.5%
40.3%
55%59%
7/26/2026regularSt. Louis City v Colorado Rapids
47.6%
24.0%
28.5%
59%61%
7/26/2026regularSan Diego v FC Dallas
53.8%
21.8%
24.4%
66%65%
7/26/2026regularSan Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles Galaxy
50.8%
21.5%
27.8%
71%69%
7/26/2026regularLos Angeles FC v Sporting Kansas City
75.2%
15.0%
9.8%
70%56%
7/26/2026regularPortland Timbers v Real Salt Lake
45.1%
24.4%
30.6%
59%61%
7/31/2026regularNew York City FC v Toronto FC
59.0%
23.6%
17.4%
49%48%
8/1/2026regularPhiladelphia Union v Atlanta United FC
59.8%
22.1%
18.1%
57%54%
8/1/2026regularNew York Red Bulls v Orlando City SC
45.1%
23.3%
31.7%
64%65%
8/1/2026regularVancouver Whitecaps v Los Angeles FC
45.5%
24.7%
29.8%
57%59%
8/1/2026regularCF Montreal v New England Revolution
38.3%
26.0%
35.7%
53%57%
8/1/2026regularDC United v Nashville SC
26.6%
25.8%
47.6%
50%54%
8/1/2026regularFC Cincinnati v San Jose Earthquakes
51.8%
21.0%
27.2%
72%71%
8/1/2026regularInter Miami v Columbus Crew
57.9%
19.3%
22.7%
76%71%
8/2/2026regularChicago Fire v Charlotte
44.8%
24.5%
30.7%
58%61%
8/2/2026regularSporting Kansas City v Houston Dynamo
36.0%
25.2%
38.8%
57%60%
8/2/2026regularMinnesota United FC v San Diego
40.5%
24.6%
34.9%
59%62%
8/2/2026regularSt. Louis City v Real Salt Lake
42.1%
25.2%
32.7%
56%59%
8/2/2026regularColorado Rapids v Austin
49.4%
24.4%
26.2%
56%58%
8/2/2026regularLos Angeles Galaxy v FC Dallas
43.0%
23.2%
33.8%
65%66%
8/2/2026regularPortland Timbers v Seattle Sounders
39.6%
26.0%
34.5%
53%57%
8/8/2026regularNew England Revolution v Houston Dynamo
43.6%
26.5%
29.9%
50%54%

Specthe reproducible recipe — same spec + seed = identical run

{
  "to": "2026-08-11",
  "from": "2026-07-26",
  "kind": "fixtures",
  "name": "MLS fixtures sim 2026-07-26 (autopilot)",
  "as_of": "2026-07-26",
  "model": {
    "shrinkage": 2
  },
  "competition": "MLS"
}