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MLS fixtures sim 2026-08-25 (autopilot)

← all runs · poisson_tw v2 · 10,000 iterations · seed 424242 · as of 2026-08-25

Who wins each match

DateStageMatchHomeDrawAway3+ goalsBTTS
8/29/2026regularSeattle Sounders v Chicago Fire
51.1%
24.2%
24.7%
57%58%
8/29/2026regularToronto FC v New York City FC
31.1%
28.2%
40.8%
44%50%
8/29/2026regularNew York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union
38.6%
25.5%
35.9%
56%60%
8/29/2026regularAtlanta United FC v Charlotte
35.2%
26.9%
37.9%
50%55%
8/29/2026regularColumbus Crew v New England Revolution
55.9%
22.8%
21.3%
59%58%
8/29/2026regularDC United v Los Angeles FC
20.7%
22.9%
56.4%
58%57%
8/29/2026regularInter Miami v CF Montreal
74.2%
14.5%
11.2%
78%65%
8/30/2026regularHouston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes
47.3%
24.2%
28.5%
59%61%
8/30/2026regularSporting Kansas City v Vancouver Whitecaps
20.1%
21.0%
59.0%
66%62%
8/30/2026regularMinnesota United FC v Orlando City SC
50.4%
23.3%
26.2%
62%62%
8/30/2026regularNashville SC v FC Cincinnati
52.1%
23.2%
24.7%
61%61%
8/30/2026regularColorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake
41.2%
25.8%
33.0%
54%58%
8/30/2026regularPortland Timbers v Austin
55.4%
22.7%
21.8%
60%59%
8/30/2026regularSan Diego v Los Angeles Galaxy
59.5%
20.4%
20.1%
68%64%
8/30/2026regularSt. Louis City v FC Dallas
40.4%
25.3%
34.4%
57%60%
9/4/2026regularNew York City FC v Nashville SC
41.5%
27.9%
30.6%
45%51%
9/5/2026regularOrlando City SC v San Diego
38.1%
22.8%
39.1%
69%69%
9/5/2026regularPhiladelphia Union v CF Montreal
62.6%
21.0%
16.4%
59%55%
9/5/2026regularToronto FC v Chicago Fire
36.0%
25.8%
38.2%
55%59%
9/5/2026regularColumbus Crew v Colorado Rapids
56.5%
22.5%
21.1%
60%59%
9/5/2026regularFC Cincinnati v DC United
64.7%
18.7%
16.6%
70%64%
9/5/2026regularInter Miami v Atlanta United FC
71.8%
15.5%
12.6%
76%65%
9/5/2026regularCharlotte v Houston Dynamo
46.5%
26.8%
26.7%
48%52%
9/6/2026regularSeattle Sounders v New York Red Bulls
53.1%
24.7%
22.2%
52%53%
9/6/2026regularFC Dallas v Sporting Kansas City
66.2%
18.6%
15.2%
68%61%
9/6/2026regularAustin v San Jose Earthquakes
39.4%
24.5%
36.1%
61%63%
9/6/2026regularLos Angeles Galaxy v New England Revolution
49.3%
23.6%
27.0%
61%62%
9/6/2026regularReal Salt Lake v Los Angeles FC
31.2%
26.0%
42.8%
53%57%
9/6/2026regularVancouver Whitecaps v St. Louis City
64.6%
20.0%
15.5%
62%57%
9/6/2026regularPortland Timbers v Minnesota United FC
44.4%
25.0%
30.5%
57%60%
9/9/2026regularPhiladelphia Union v FC Cincinnati
50.3%
22.5%
27.2%
66%66%
9/9/2026regularToronto FC v Nashville SC
28.5%
28.1%
43.3%
44%49%
9/9/2026regularNew York City FC v New England Revolution
53.7%
24.6%
21.7%
52%53%
9/9/2026regularAtlanta United FC v Orlando City SC
39.1%
24.0%
36.9%
63%65%
9/9/2026regularCF Montreal v Charlotte
33.2%
26.6%
40.1%
51%55%
9/9/2026regularDC United v Columbus Crew
29.5%
24.5%
45.9%
59%61%

Specthe reproducible recipe — same spec + seed = identical run

{
  "to": "2026-09-10",
  "from": "2026-08-25",
  "kind": "fixtures",
  "name": "MLS fixtures sim 2026-08-25 (autopilot)",
  "as_of": "2026-08-25",
  "model": {
    "shrinkage": 2
  },
  "competition": "MLS"
}