← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Sep 6, 02:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota United FC win in Portland Timbers v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 3.15 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 3.15 | $10.75 | — | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers win | 48% | 44% | 2.30 | fair |
| Minnesota United FC win | 28% | 31% | 201.00 | value: +6046% |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | 11.50 | value: +188% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United FC win | 3.41 | 143.50 | +4108.2% | |
| Draw | 3.85 | 9.50 | +146.8% | |
| Portland Timbers win | 1.94 | 1.06 | -45.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Providence Park |