← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sat, Aug 29, 11:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw in DC United v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 3.80 | Dutch cover | $2.63 | 3.80 | $7.36 | — | — | pending |
Los Angeles FC win in DC United v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 2.05 | Dutch cover | $17.37 | 2.05 | $18.24 | +16% | — | pending |
Los Angeles FC win in DC United v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 2.05 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 2.05 | $5.25 | +16% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC win | 47% | 56% | 2.06 | value: +16% |
| DC United win | 28% | 21% | 3.75 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 23% | 3.90 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 57% | 1.75 | fair |
| Under | 43% | 43% | 2.23 | fair |
across 5 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC win | 2.04 | 1.95 | -4.4% | |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.75 | +4.2% | |
| DC United win | 3.25 | 3.65 | +12.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Audi Field |