← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Sep 6, 01:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles FC win in Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 2.45 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 2.45 | $7.25 | — | — | pending |
leg 1: Baltimore Orioles win in Baltimore Orioles v Boston Red Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.29 leg 2: Los Angeles FC win in Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 2.60 leg 3: Draw in Philadelphia Union v CF Montreal · Match result @ 5.18 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 30.82 | $59.63 | +35% | — | pending |
Draw in Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 3.70 | Dutch cover | $2.70 | 3.70 | $7.29 | — | — | pending |
Los Angeles FC win in Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 2.60 | Dutch cover | $17.30 | 2.60 | $27.68 | +11% | — | pending |
Los Angeles FC win in Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 2.60 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 2.60 | $8.00 | +11% | — | pending |
Under in Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.33 | WC KO unders | $10.00 | 2.33 | $13.30 | +10% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake win | 39% | 31% | 2.80 | fair |
| Los Angeles FC win | 36% | 43% | 2.90 | value: +24% |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.80 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 53% | 1.62 | fair |
| Under | 41% | 47% | 2.33 | value: +10% |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC win | 2.79 | 2.40 | -13.8% | |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.60 | -1.4% | |
| Real Salt Lake win | 2.28 | 2.73 | +19.7% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | America First Field |