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FC Dallas v Sporting Kansas City

← Major League Soccer 2026 Β· Sun, Sep 6, 12:30 AM UTC Β· scheduled

Riding on this matchevery paper bet with a leg in this game

BetStrategyStakeOddsTo winModel edgeP&LStatus
Sporting Kansas City win in FC Dallas v Sporting Kansas City Β· Match result @ 6.75
Portfolio$1.006.75$5.75+0%β€”pending
leg 1: CF Montreal win in Philadelphia Union v CF Montreal Β· Match result @ 6.60
leg 2: Sporting Kansas City win in FC Dallas v Sporting Kansas City Β· Match result @ 6.75
WC parlay$5.0044.55$217.75+11%β€”pending
Sporting Kansas City win in FC Dallas v Sporting Kansas City Β· Match result @ 6.75
WC upset hunter$5.006.75$28.75+3%β€”pending

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

β€œMarket” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin β€” the world's best guess. β€œModel” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) β€” it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins? (90 minutes)

OutcomeMarket saysModel saysBest priceVerdict
FC Dallas win66%66%1.47fair
Draw19%19%5.30fair
Sporting Kansas City win15%15%6.75fair

across 9 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Price movement β€” Match result

OutcomeTrendFirstNowMove
Sporting Kansas City win6.356.25-1.6%
Draw5.105.05-1.0%
FC Dallas win1.391.42+2.5%

daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.

Everything else we hold on this match Β· 1 more recorded fact β€” tap to expand
venueToyota Stadium