β Major League Soccer 2026 Β· Sun, Sep 6, 12:30 AM UTC Β· scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sporting Kansas City win in FC Dallas v Sporting Kansas City Β· Match result @ 6.75 | Portfolio | $1.00 | 6.75 | $5.75 | +0% | β | pending |
leg 1: CF Montreal win in Philadelphia Union v CF Montreal Β· Match result @ 6.60 leg 2: Sporting Kansas City win in FC Dallas v Sporting Kansas City Β· Match result @ 6.75 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 44.55 | $217.75 | +11% | β | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in FC Dallas v Sporting Kansas City Β· Match result @ 6.75 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 6.75 | $28.75 | +3% | β | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas win | 66% | 66% | 1.47 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 19% | 5.30 | fair |
| Sporting Kansas City win | 15% | 15% | 6.75 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City win | 6.35 | 6.25 | -1.6% | |
| Draw | 5.10 | 5.05 | -1.0% | |
| FC Dallas win | 1.39 | 1.42 | +2.5% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Toyota Stadium |