← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Aug 30, 12:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Houston Dynamo win in Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes · Match result @ 1.68 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 1.68 | $3.40 | — | — | pending |
leg 1: Draw in New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union · Match result @ 4.10 leg 2: San Jose Earthquakes win in Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes · Match result @ 4.75 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 19.48 | $92.38 | +41% | — | pending |
leg 1: Draw in New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union · Match result @ 4.10 leg 2: San Jose Earthquakes win in Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes · Match result @ 4.75 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 19.48 | $92.38 | +41% | — | pending |
leg 1: San Jose Earthquakes win in Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes · Match result @ 4.75 leg 2: Under in Toronto FC v New York City FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.18 leg 3: New York Red Bulls win in New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union · Match result @ 3.05 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 31.58 | $61.17 | +93% | — | pending |
Draw in Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes · Match result @ 4.20 | Dutch cover | $2.38 | 4.20 | $7.62 | — | — | pending |
San Jose Earthquakes win in Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes · Match result @ 4.75 | Dutch cover | $17.62 | 4.75 | $66.08 | +35% | — | pending |
San Jose Earthquakes win in Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes · Match result @ 4.75 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 4.75 | $18.75 | +35% | — | pending |
Draw in Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes · Match result @ 4.20 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.20 | $16.00 | +2% | — | pending |
San Jose Earthquakes win in Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes · Match result @ 4.75 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.75 | $18.75 | +35% | — | pending |
San Jose Earthquakes win in Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes · Match result @ 4.75 | Portfolio | $9.44 | 4.75 | $35.40 | +16% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo win | 55% | 47% | 1.83 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 4.30 | value: +4% |
| San Jose Earthquakes win | 21% | 28% | 5.28 | value: +50% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes win | 3.75 | 4.80 | +28.0% | |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.07 | +5.7% | |
| Houston Dynamo win | 1.83 | 1.63 | -10.9% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Shell Energy Stadium |