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MLS fixtures sim 2026-07-27 (autopilot)

← all runs · poisson_tw v2 · 10,000 iterations · seed 424242 · as of 2026-07-27

Who wins each match

DateStageMatchHomeDrawAway3+ goalsBTTS
7/31/2026regularNew York City FC v Toronto FC
59.2%
23.6%
17.2%
49%48%
8/1/2026regularPhiladelphia Union v Atlanta United FC
60.0%
22.0%
18.0%
57%54%
8/1/2026regularNew York Red Bulls v Orlando City SC
45.2%
23.3%
31.5%
64%65%
8/1/2026regularVancouver Whitecaps v Los Angeles FC
45.0%
25.0%
30.1%
56%59%
8/1/2026regularCF Montreal v New England Revolution
38.5%
26.0%
35.5%
53%57%
8/1/2026regularDC United v Nashville SC
26.7%
25.8%
47.4%
50%54%
8/1/2026regularFC Cincinnati v San Jose Earthquakes
52.2%
21.0%
26.8%
72%70%
8/1/2026regularInter Miami v Columbus Crew
58.1%
19.3%
22.6%
76%71%
8/2/2026regularChicago Fire v Charlotte
45.1%
24.4%
30.5%
58%61%
8/2/2026regularSporting Kansas City v Houston Dynamo
34.4%
25.0%
40.6%
57%60%
8/2/2026regularMinnesota United FC v San Diego
40.1%
25.1%
34.7%
57%60%
8/2/2026regularSt. Louis City v Real Salt Lake
42.6%
25.3%
32.1%
55%58%
8/2/2026regularColorado Rapids v Austin
50.2%
24.3%
25.4%
56%57%
8/2/2026regularLos Angeles Galaxy v FC Dallas
43.3%
23.4%
33.3%
64%65%
8/2/2026regularPortland Timbers v Seattle Sounders
40.1%
25.8%
34.1%
54%57%
8/8/2026regularNew England Revolution v Houston Dynamo
42.8%
26.5%
30.7%
50%54%

Specthe reproducible recipe — same spec + seed = identical run

{
  "to": "2026-08-12",
  "from": "2026-07-27",
  "kind": "fixtures",
  "name": "MLS fixtures sim 2026-07-27 (autopilot)",
  "as_of": "2026-07-27",
  "model": {
    "shrinkage": 2
  },
  "competition": "MLS"
}