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MLS fixtures sim 2026-08-03 (autopilot)

← all runs · poisson_tw v2 · 10,000 iterations · seed 424242 · as of 2026-08-03

Who wins each match

DateStageMatchHomeDrawAway3+ goalsBTTS
8/8/2026regularNew England Revolution v Houston Dynamo
42.0%
26.7%
31.2%
50%54%
8/15/2026regularOrlando City SC v FC Cincinnati
45.2%
21.6%
33.2%
74%73%
8/15/2026regularToronto FC v New England Revolution
38.9%
27.4%
33.7%
48%53%
8/15/2026regularAtlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls
40.1%
25.8%
34.2%
55%59%
8/15/2026regularCF Montreal v DC United
47.2%
24.8%
28.0%
56%59%
8/15/2026regularCharlotte v Columbus Crew
42.3%
25.9%
31.8%
54%57%
8/16/2026regularHouston Dynamo v Los Angeles Galaxy
47.6%
24.7%
27.6%
57%59%
8/16/2026regularNashville SC v Inter Miami
44.0%
23.1%
32.8%
66%67%
8/16/2026regularReal Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC
44.0%
26.5%
29.5%
50%55%
8/16/2026regularColorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City
58.6%
21.2%
20.2%
65%62%
8/16/2026regularSan Jose Earthquakes v St. Louis City
50.5%
22.7%
26.8%
65%65%
8/16/2026regularLos Angeles FC v San Diego
54.6%
22.8%
22.6%
61%60%
8/16/2026regularNew York City FC v Philadelphia Union
45.3%
26.2%
28.6%
51%55%
8/16/2026regularChicago Fire v Portland Timbers
48.8%
22.5%
28.7%
67%67%
8/17/2026regularAustin v FC Dallas
35.0%
26.1%
39.0%
54%58%
8/17/2026regularSeattle Sounders v Vancouver Whitecaps
36.6%
26.9%
36.5%
50%55%

Specthe reproducible recipe — same spec + seed = identical run

{
  "to": "2026-08-19",
  "from": "2026-08-03",
  "kind": "fixtures",
  "name": "MLS fixtures sim 2026-08-03 (autopilot)",
  "as_of": "2026-08-03",
  "model": {
    "shrinkage": 2
  },
  "competition": "MLS"
}