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MLS fixtures sim 2026-09-08 (autopilot)

← all runs · poisson_tw v2 · 10,000 iterations · seed 424242 · as of 2026-09-08

Who wins each match

DateStageMatchHomeDrawAway3+ goalsBTTS
9/9/2026regularPhiladelphia Union v FC Cincinnati
50.3%
22.5%
27.2%
66%66%
9/9/2026regularToronto FC v Nashville SC
28.6%
28.1%
43.2%
44%49%
9/9/2026regularNew York City FC v New England Revolution
53.7%
24.6%
21.7%
52%53%
9/9/2026regularAtlanta United FC v Orlando City SC
39.2%
24.0%
36.8%
63%65%
9/9/2026regularCF Montreal v Charlotte
33.2%
26.6%
40.2%
51%55%
9/9/2026regularDC United v Columbus Crew
29.5%
24.6%
45.9%
58%61%
9/10/2026regularHouston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake
43.9%
26.7%
29.4%
49%54%
9/10/2026regularChicago Fire v Inter Miami
37.1%
21.0%
41.9%
77%76%
9/10/2026regularMinnesota United FC v FC Dallas
44.9%
25.8%
29.3%
53%56%
9/10/2026regularAustin v Colorado Rapids
41.6%
26.1%
32.3%
53%57%
9/10/2026regularVancouver Whitecaps v Los Angeles Galaxy
64.5%
19.3%
16.2%
66%60%
9/10/2026regularLos Angeles FC v New York Red Bulls
65.3%
20.0%
14.7%
61%55%
9/10/2026regularPortland Timbers v St. Louis City
50.6%
23.2%
26.1%
62%62%
9/10/2026regularSan Diego v San Jose Earthquakes
59.2%
20.1%
20.7%
71%67%
9/12/2026regularOrlando City SC v Toronto FC
56.1%
22.5%
21.4%
60%59%
9/12/2026regularColumbus Crew v New York Red Bulls
55.3%
22.7%
22.0%
60%59%
9/12/2026regularDC United v Atlanta United FC
43.0%
25.5%
31.5%
55%58%
9/12/2026regularFC Cincinnati v Charlotte
48.9%
23.4%
27.7%
62%63%
9/12/2026regularInter Miami v Nashville SC
52.7%
21.9%
25.5%
68%66%
9/13/2026regularFC Dallas v Portland Timbers
50.5%
23.2%
26.3%
62%63%
9/13/2026regularSporting Kansas City v Los Angeles FC
18.9%
21.0%
60.2%
64%60%
9/13/2026regularSt. Louis City v Minnesota United FC
40.6%
26.3%
33.1%
52%56%
9/13/2026regularReal Salt Lake v New York City FC
41.3%
27.0%
31.7%
49%54%
9/13/2026regularColorado Rapids v CF Montreal
53.6%
23.6%
22.7%
57%57%
9/13/2026regularSan Jose Earthquakes v Houston Dynamo
46.4%
24.4%
29.2%
59%61%
9/13/2026regularLos Angeles Galaxy v Seattle Sounders
39.2%
25.9%
34.9%
54%58%
9/13/2026regularVancouver Whitecaps v Austin
68.4%
18.9%
12.7%
61%53%
9/13/2026regularChicago Fire v New England Revolution
51.8%
23.0%
25.2%
62%62%
9/14/2026regularSan Diego v Philadelphia Union
51.1%
23.3%
25.6%
61%62%
9/18/2026regularNew York City FC v New York Red Bulls
53.1%
24.4%
22.5%
54%55%
9/19/2026regularSan Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles FC
30.3%
23.7%
46.0%
63%64%
9/19/2026regularNew England Revolution v Orlando City SC
44.7%
23.6%
31.7%
64%65%
9/19/2026regularCF Montreal v Columbus Crew
30.2%
25.0%
44.8%
57%59%
9/19/2026regularDC United v Charlotte
32.6%
26.2%
41.2%
53%57%
9/20/2026regularFC Dallas v Austin
57.3%
22.9%
19.8%
57%55%
9/20/2026regularHouston Dynamo v FC Cincinnati
43.7%
24.4%
31.9%
60%63%
9/20/2026regularSporting Kansas City v Philadelphia Union
27.9%
23.4%
48.6%
63%63%
9/20/2026regularMinnesota United FC v Los Angeles Galaxy
50.5%
24.0%
25.5%
58%59%
9/20/2026regularSt. Louis City v Toronto FC
51.8%
25.1%
23.1%
51%53%
9/20/2026regularReal Salt Lake v Vancouver Whitecaps
33.1%
25.7%
41.3%
55%59%
9/20/2026regularColorado Rapids v Seattle Sounders
36.4%
27.1%
36.5%
49%54%
9/20/2026regularNashville SC v Chicago Fire
53.9%
23.5%
22.7%
58%58%
9/20/2026regularPortland Timbers v Atlanta United FC
56.4%
22.2%
21.4%
61%60%
9/20/2026regularInter Miami v San Diego
53.7%
20.0%
26.3%
77%74%

Specthe reproducible recipe — same spec + seed = identical run

{
  "to": "2026-09-24",
  "from": "2026-09-08",
  "kind": "fixtures",
  "name": "MLS fixtures sim 2026-09-08 (autopilot)",
  "as_of": "2026-09-08",
  "model": {
    "shrinkage": 2
  },
  "competition": "MLS"
}