← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Sep 13, 12:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas win | 52% | 51% | 1.93 | fair |
| Portland Timbers win | 25% | 26% | 4.00 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 4.30 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers win | 3.50 | 3.80 | +8.6% | |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.0% | |
| FC Dallas win | 1.85 | 1.81 | -2.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Toyota Stadium |