← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Sep 13, 12:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Portland Timbers win in FC Dallas v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 4.00 leg 2: Draw in Colorado Rapids v CF Montreal · Match result @ 4.25 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 17.00 | $80.00 | +6% | — | pending |
Draw in FC Dallas v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 4.29 | Dutch cover | $2.33 | 4.29 | $7.67 | — | — | pending |
Portland Timbers win in FC Dallas v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 4.00 | Dutch cover | $17.67 | 4.00 | $53.01 | +5% | — | pending |
Portland Timbers win in FC Dallas v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 4.00 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.00 | $15.00 | +5% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas win | 52% | 51% | 1.93 | fair |
| Portland Timbers win | 25% | 26% | 4.00 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 4.30 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers win | 3.50 | 3.90 | +11.4% | |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.10 | +2.5% | |
| FC Dallas win | 1.85 | 1.81 | -2.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Toyota Stadium |