← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Sep 13, 10:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire win | 54% | 52% | 1.83 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 4.40 | fair |
| New England Revolution win | 23% | 25% | 4.40 | value: +11% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution win | 4.40 | 3.80 | -13.6% | |
| Draw | 4.10 | 4.00 | -2.4% | |
| Chicago Fire win | 1.67 | 1.78 | +6.6% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Soldier Field |