← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sat, Sep 12, 11:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw in Orlando City SC v Toronto FC · Match result @ 4.10 | Dutch cover | $2.44 | 4.10 | $7.56 | — | — | pending |
Orlando City SC win in Orlando City SC v Toronto FC · Match result @ 1.91 | Dutch cover | $17.56 | 1.91 | $15.98 | +7% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC win | 51% | 56% | 1.93 | value: +8% |
| Toronto FC win | 26% | 21% | 3.85 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 4.30 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC win | 3.55 | 3.57 | +0.6% | |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.0% | |
| Orlando City SC win | 1.85 | 1.87 | +1.1% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Exploria Stadium |