← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sat, Sep 26, 11:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Orlando City SC win in Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 6.50 leg 2: Sporting Kansas City win in Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.40 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 41.60 | $203.00 | +75% | — | pending |
leg 1: Orlando City SC win in Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 6.50 leg 2: Sporting Kansas City win in Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.40 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 41.60 | $203.00 | +75% | — | pending |
leg 1: Orlando City SC win in Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 6.50 leg 2: San Francisco Giants win in San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.96 leg 3: New York City FC win in Atlanta United FC v New York City FC · Match result @ 3.01 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 77.40 | $152.81 | +175% | — | pending |
Draw in Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 5.35 | Dutch cover | $1.87 | 5.35 | $8.13 | — | — | pending |
Orlando City SC win in Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 6.50 | Dutch cover | $18.13 | 6.50 | $99.71 | +55% | — | pending |
Draw in Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 5.35 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 5.35 | $21.75 | +17% | — | pending |
Orlando City SC win in Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 6.50 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 6.50 | $27.50 | +55% | — | pending |
Draw in Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 5.35 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 5.35 | $21.75 | +17% | — | pending |
Orlando City SC win in Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 6.50 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 6.50 | $27.50 | +55% | — | pending |
Orlando City SC win in Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 6.50 | Portfolio | $3.33 | 6.50 | $18.32 | +26% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union win | 65% | 54% | 1.50 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 22% | 5.50 | value: +20% |
| Orlando City SC win | 16% | 24% | 6.50 | value: +55% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC win | 5.25 | 5.50 | +4.8% | |
| Draw | 4.95 | 5.25 | +6.1% | |
| Philadelphia Union win | 1.49 | 1.46 | -2.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Subaru Park |