← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Sep 27, 12:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Orlando City SC win in Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 6.50 leg 2: Sporting Kansas City win in Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.40 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 41.60 | $203.00 | +75% | — | pending |
leg 1: Orlando City SC win in Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 6.50 leg 2: Sporting Kansas City win in Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.40 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 41.60 | $203.00 | +75% | — | pending |
Draw in Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 4.75 | Dutch cover | $2.11 | 4.75 | $7.91 | — | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.40 | Dutch cover | $17.89 | 6.40 | $96.61 | +13% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.40 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 6.40 | $27.00 | +13% | — | pending |
Draw in Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 4.75 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.75 | $18.75 | +1% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.40 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 6.40 | $27.00 | +13% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.40 | Portfolio | $1.52 | 6.40 | $8.21 | +5% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo win | 63% | 61% | 1.59 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 21% | 4.80 | fair |
| Sporting Kansas City win | 16% | 18% | 6.50 | value: +15% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 61% | 1.60 | fair |
| Under | 40% | 39% | 2.31 | fair |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City win | 6.25 | 5.40 | -13.6% | |
| Draw | 4.78 | 4.45 | -6.8% | |
| Houston Dynamo win | 1.41 | 1.55 | +10.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Shell Energy Stadium |