← Major League Baseball 2026 · Fri, Sep 11, 11:15 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Aaron Nola (ERA 4.76, WHIP 1.37) · home: Chris Sale (ERA 2.1, WHIP 1.01)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Philadelphia Phillies win in Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.64 | Portfolio | $12.59 | 2.64 | $20.65 | +13% | -12.59 | lost |
leg 1: Miami Marlins win in Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.08 lost leg 2: Philadelphia Phillies win in Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 lost leg 3: Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Cincinnati Reds · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.52 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 10.49 | $18.98 | +45% | -2.00 | lost |
Philadelphia Phillies win in Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.24 | $12.36 | +6% | -10.00 | lost |
Philadelphia Phillies win in Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.24 | $12.36 | +6% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves win | 60% | 3.80 |
| Philadelphia Phillies win | 40% | 2.64 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies win | 2.24 | 1.29 | -42.1% | |
| Atlanta Braves win | 1.57 | 3.80 | +141.9% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Atlanta Braves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 |