← Major League Baseball 2026 · Fri, Sep 11, 11:40 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Andrew Abbott (ERA 4.43, WHIP 1.42) · home: Dustin May (ERA 4.69, WHIP 1.32)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Miami Marlins win in Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.08 lost leg 2: Philadelphia Phillies win in Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 lost leg 3: Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Cincinnati Reds · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.52 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 10.49 | $18.98 | +45% | -2.00 | lost |
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Cincinnati Reds · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.52 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.52 | $5.24 | +6% | +5.24 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 63% | 1.56 |
| Cincinnati Reds win | 37% | 2.66 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds win | 2.52 | 2.58 | +2.5% | |
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 1.55 | 1.52 | -1.5% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | — | 20 |