← Major League Baseball 2026 · Mon, Jul 20, 11:00 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Emmet Sheehan (ERA 4.81, WHIP 1.24) · home: Cristopher Sánchez (ERA 2.62, WHIP 1.19)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Philadelphia Phillies v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.20 | Portfolio | $14.63 | 2.20 | $17.56 | +8% | -14.63 | lost |
leg 1: Los Angeles Dodgers win in Philadelphia Phillies v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 lost leg 2: Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v New York Mets · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 won leg 3: Cleveland Guardians win in Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.83 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 6.62 | $11.25 | +50% | -2.00 | lost |
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Philadelphia Phillies v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.24 | $12.36 | +17% | -10.00 | lost |
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Philadelphia Phillies v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.24 | $12.36 | +17% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies win | 57% | 1.81 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 43% | 46.79 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 2.19 | 46.79 | +2039.5% | |
| Philadelphia Phillies win | 1.62 | 1.74 | +7.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | 10 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Philadelphia Phillies | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| elo | 1541.91 | 1598.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.45 | -6.30 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.90 |