← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Sep 13, 06:15 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: · home: Michael McGreevy (ERA 3.92, WHIP 1.25)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: St. Louis Cardinals win in St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.01 won leg 2: Baltimore Orioles win in Toronto Blue Jays v Baltimore Orioles · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.39 lost leg 3: Tampa Bay Rays win in Tampa Bay Rays v Houston Astros · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.77 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 8.50 | $15.01 | +20% | -2.00 | lost |
St. Louis Cardinals win in St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.01 | Drought fade | $10.00 | 2.01 | $10.10 | +11% | +10.10 | won |
St. Louis Cardinals win in St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.01 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.01 | $10.10 | +10% | +10.10 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox win | 52% | 7.25 |
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 48% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox win | 1.66 | 1.83 | +9.9% | |
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 2.01 | 2.01 | 0.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Louis Cardinals | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1490.62 | 1491.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.69 | -12.58 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.30 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.40 |