← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Sep 12, 01:40 AM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.40 won leg 2: Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 won leg 3: Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 6.87 | $11.74 | +33% | +11.74 | won |
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +8% | +7.94 | won |
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.90 | Portfolio | $9.15 | 1.90 | $8.20 | +5% | +8.20 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks win | 52% | 1.90 |
| Texas Rangers win | 48% | 2.09 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 1.86 | 1.86 | 0.0% | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks win | 1.76 | 1.86 | +5.6% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Arizona Diamondbacks | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1517.76 | 1481.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.47 | 0.48 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 2.08 | 1.23 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 5.60 |