← Major League Baseball 2026 · Fri, Sep 11, 10:40 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Mason Adams (ERA 3.95, WHIP 1.61) · home: Framber Valdez (ERA 4.17, WHIP 1.36)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.40 leg 2: Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 won leg 3: Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 6.87 | $11.74 | +33% | — | pending |
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.60 | $5.96 | +10% | +5.96 | won |
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | Portfolio | $9.67 | 1.62 | $6.01 | +4% | +6.01 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers win | 61% | 1.65 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 39% | 2.62 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies win | 2.29 | 2.57 | +12.3% | |
| Detroit Tigers win | 1.50 | 1.54 | +2.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Detroit Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | — | 6 |