← Major League Baseball 2026 · Mon, Sep 7, 05:35 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.55 | Portfolio | $11.65 | 1.55 | $6.37 | +4% | +6.37 | won |
leg 1: Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.55 won leg 2: Houston Astros win in Houston Astros v Arizona Diamondbacks · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.94 lost leg 3: Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Washington Nationals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.51 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 4.53 | $7.06 | +26% | -2.00 | lost |
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.55 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.55 | $5.47 | +12% | +5.47 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox win | 61% | 1.60 |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 39% | 46.79 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels win | 2.34 | 2.49 | +6.1% | |
| Boston Red Sox win | 1.50 | 1.57 | +4.6% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Boston Red Sox | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Boston Red Sox | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 20.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1556.44 | 1420.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.38 | -2.71 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.50 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.20 |