← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Sep 5, 12:40 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Andre Pallante (ERA 3.57, WHIP 1.24) · home: Ryan Feltner (ERA 5.84, WHIP 1.55)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: New York City FC win in New York City FC v Nashville SC · Match result @ 2.65 leg 2: St. Louis Cardinals win in Colorado Rockies v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 leg 3: Arizona Diamondbacks win in Houston Astros v Arizona Diamondbacks · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.23 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 10.40 | $18.80 | +20% | — | pending |
St. Louis Cardinals win in Colorado Rockies v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.76 | $7.60 | +6% | +7.60 | won |
St. Louis Cardinals win in Colorado Rockies v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +6% | +7.94 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 56% | 1.79 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 44% | 5.56 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 1.60 | 1.18 | -26.2% | |
| Colorado Rockies win | 2.14 | 5.56 | +159.8% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| Colorado Rockies | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colorado Rockies | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1389.76 | 1495.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.79 | 1.57 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 2.23 | 0.94 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 6.10 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.20 |