← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Aug 30, 05:37 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Toronto Blue Jays win in Toronto Blue Jays v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.18 | Portfolio | $22.57 | 2.18 | $26.63 | +12% | +26.63 | won |
leg 1: San Diego Padres win in Tampa Bay Rays v San Diego Padres · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.46 lost leg 2: New York City FC win in Toronto FC v New York City FC · Match result @ 2.77 leg 3: Toronto Blue Jays win in Toronto Blue Jays v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.97 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 13.42 | $24.84 | +44% | — | pending |
Toronto Blue Jays win in Toronto Blue Jays v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.97 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.97 | $9.70 | +13% | +9.70 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Toronto Blue Jays win | 47% | 2.19 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners win | 1.79 | 1.75 | -2.7% | |
| Toronto Blue Jays win | 1.90 | 2.17 | +14.5% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | — | 7 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toronto Blue Jays | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1510.86 | 1483.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.22 | -0.83 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 6.10 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |