← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Aug 30, 05:40 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Kansas City Royals win in Cleveland Guardians v Kansas City Royals · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.72 lost leg 2: Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.51 lost leg 3: Chicago White Sox win in Minnesota Twins v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.05 lost | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 14.00 | $25.99 | +31% | -2.00 | lost |
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.51 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.51 | $15.10 | +10% | -10.00 | lost |
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.24 | $12.36 | -1% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 58% | 1.76 |
| Detroit Tigers win | 42% | 2.51 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 1.60 | 1.60 | -0.1% | |
| Detroit Tigers win | 2.24 | 2.45 | +9.5% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| Detroit Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Detroit Tigers | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1501.24 | 1575.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.37 | -6.55 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.70 |