← Major League Baseball 2026 · Fri, Aug 28, 11:15 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlanta Braves win in Atlanta Braves v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.46 | Portfolio | $17.10 | 1.46 | $7.87 | +4% | +7.87 | won |
leg 1: Washington Nationals win in Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.14 won leg 2: Atlanta Braves win in Atlanta Braves v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.42 won leg 3: Boston Red Sox win in New York Yankees v Boston Red Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.29 lost | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 6.95 | $11.89 | +22% | -2.00 | lost |
Atlanta Braves win in Atlanta Braves v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.42 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.42 | $4.19 | +7% | +4.19 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves win | 67% | 1.46 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 33% | 5.90 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies win | 2.73 | 5.90 | +116.0% | |
| Atlanta Braves win | 1.46 | 1.16 | -20.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Atlanta Braves | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 6 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Atlanta Braves | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1545.40 | 1388.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.02 | 1.63 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.26 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 6.60 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.10 |