← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Aug 22, 12:15 AM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Texas Rangers win in Texas Rangers v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 won leg 2: St. Louis Cardinals win in Philadelphia Phillies v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.66 lost leg 3: Toronto Blue Jays win in New York Yankees v Toronto Blue Jays · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.59 lost | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 12.13 | $22.26 | +20% | -2.00 | lost |
Texas Rangers win in Texas Rangers v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.76 | $7.63 | +12% | +7.63 | won |
Texas Rangers win in Texas Rangers v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 | Portfolio | $14.38 | 1.76 | $10.97 | +5% | +10.97 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 57% | 1.76 |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 43% | 2.51 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels win | 2.19 | 2.45 | +12.0% | |
| Texas Rangers win | 1.73 | 1.58 | -8.8% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Texas Rangers | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1479.72 | 1429.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.14 | 9.58 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.01 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.50 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.60 |