← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Aug 19, 12:40 AM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Los Angeles Dodgers win in Colorado Rockies v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.67 won leg 2: Miami Marlins win in Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.89 lost leg 3: Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 7.86 | $13.72 | +41% | -2.00 | lost |
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Colorado Rockies v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.67 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.67 | $6.75 | +17% | +6.75 | won |
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Colorado Rockies v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.67 | Portfolio | $23.89 | 1.67 | $16.12 | +6% | +16.12 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 61% | 1.70 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 39% | 7.25 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 1.55 | 1.13 | -27.2% | |
| Colorado Rockies win | 2.40 | 7.25 | +202.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Colorado Rockies | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colorado Rockies | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| elo | 1395.29 | 1574.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.96 | -5.17 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 3.70 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.00 |