← Major League Baseball 2026 · Thu, Jul 30, 02:10 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Emerson Hancock (ERA 3.16, WHIP 1.01) · home: Eric Lauer (ERA 4.83, WHIP 1.26)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.69 | Portfolio | $20.10 | 1.69 | $13.87 | +6% | +13.87 | won |
leg 1: Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 won leg 2: Tampa Bay Rays win in Tampa Bay Rays v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 won leg 3: Miami Marlins win in Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 6.39 | $10.78 | +19% | +10.78 | won |
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +10% | +6.21 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 61% | 1.70 |
| Seattle Mariners win | 39% | 18.00 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners win | 2.12 | 16.20 | +665.1% | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 1.67 | 1.01 | -39.7% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Dodgers | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| elo | 1596.18 | 1509.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.66 | -3.52 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.40 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.40 |