← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Jul 29, 11:40 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Cam Schlittler (ERA 2.07, WHIP 0.93) · home: Davis Martin (ERA 3.49, WHIP 1.27)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Chicago White Sox win in Chicago White Sox v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.32 won leg 2: Atlanta Braves win in New York Mets v Atlanta Braves · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.91 won leg 3: Boston Red Sox win in Oakland Athletics v Boston Red Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.69 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 7.49 | $12.98 | +16% | +12.98 | won |
Chicago White Sox win in Chicago White Sox v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.32 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.32 | $13.20 | +7% | +13.20 | won |
Chicago White Sox win in Chicago White Sox v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.32 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.32 | $13.20 | +7% | +13.20 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees win | 56% | 1.79 |
| Chicago White Sox win | 44% | 13.41 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees win | 1.72 | 1.06 | -38.3% | |
| Chicago White Sox win | 1.97 | 13.41 | +580.7% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Chicago White Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chicago White Sox | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| elo | 1492.46 | 1557.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.83 | 6.39 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.70 |