← Major League Baseball 2026 · Tue, Jul 21, 01:40 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Jeffrey Springs (ERA 6.08, WHIP 1.42) · home: Mitch Bratt (ERA 6, WHIP 1.67)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: San Francisco Giants win in Seattle Mariners v San Francisco Giants · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.66 lost leg 2: St. Louis Cardinals win in Los Angeles Angels v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.90 lost leg 3: Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.67 lost | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 8.44 | $14.88 | +24% | -2.00 | lost |
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.67 | Drought fade | $10.00 | 1.67 | $6.75 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.67 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.67 | $6.75 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks win | 54% | 16.00 |
| Oakland Athletics win | 46% | 2.40 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics win | 2.05 | 1.02 | -50.3% | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks win | 1.67 | 13.50 | +706.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Arizona Diamondbacks | Oakland Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| elo | 1512.52 | 1439.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.48 | -10.57 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.23 | 1.23 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 7.70 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.80 |