← Major League Baseball 2026 · Thu, Sep 24, 06:10 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: David Sandlin (ERA 6.29, WHIP 1.28) · home: Randy Dobnak (ERA 3.08, WHIP 1.33)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Houston Astros · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.46 lost leg 2: Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Cleveland Guardians · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.75 lost leg 3: Kansas City Royals win in Kansas City Royals v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.10 lost | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 9.04 | $16.07 | +13% | -2.00 | lost |
Kansas City Royals win in Kansas City Royals v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.10 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 2.10 | $11.00 | +3% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox win | 51% | 1.93 |
| Kansas City Royals win | 49% | 2.10 |
across 7 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox win | 1.76 | 1.78 | +1.1% | |
| Kansas City Royals win | 1.86 | 2.05 | +10.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Kansas City Royals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kansas City Royals | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1459.02 | 1496.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.41 | 4.78 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.90 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.70 |