← Major League Baseball 2026 · Tue, Sep 15, 10:40 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Cincinnati Reds win in Cincinnati Reds v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.01 lost leg 2: Tampa Bay Rays win in Tampa Bay Rays v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.47 won leg 3: Cleveland Guardians win in Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.83 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 8.10 | $14.19 | +26% | -2.00 | lost |
Tampa Bay Rays win in Tampa Bay Rays v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.47 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.47 | $4.70 | +5% | +4.70 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays win | 67% | 1.47 |
| Oakland Athletics win | 33% | 3.00 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics win | 2.81 | 2.89 | +3.0% | |
| Tampa Bay Rays win | 1.34 | 1.44 | +7.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tampa Bay Rays | Oakland Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1544.24 | 1418.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.04 | -1.40 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 2.21 | 2.11 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.50 |