Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies

← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Sep 13, 04:10 PM UTC · scheduled

Probable pitchers: away: Gabriel Hughes (ERA 5.81, WHIP 1.38) · home: Jackson Jobe (ERA 4.45, WHIP 1.41)

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins?

Outcome	Market says	Best price
Detroit Tigers win	58%	1.65
Colorado Rockies win	42%	2.29

across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Price movement — Match winner (2-way)

Outcome	Trend	First	Now	Move
Colorado Rockies win		2.19	2.24	+2.3%
Detroit Tigers win		1.65	1.62	-1.6%

daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.