← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Sep 13, 04:10 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Gabriel Hughes (ERA 5.81, WHIP 1.38) · home: Jackson Jobe (ERA 4.45, WHIP 1.41)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.69 | Portfolio | $20.21 | 1.69 | $13.94 | +8% | +13.94 | won |
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +13% | +6.21 | won |
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | Drought fade | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +13% | +6.21 | won |
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +13% | +6.21 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers win | 58% | 1.69 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 42% | 2.46 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies win | 2.19 | 2.30 | +5.2% | |
| Detroit Tigers win | 1.65 | 1.65 | 0.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Detroit Tigers | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Detroit Tigers | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1497.41 | 1380.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.10 | -9.85 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 0.96 | 0.96 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 6.90 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 5.00 |