← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Sep 2, 12:10 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Sean Burke (ERA 3.32, WHIP 1.15) · home: Ronel Blanco (ERA 7.71, WHIP 1.46)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Chicago Cubs win in Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.14 lost leg 2: Houston Astros win in Houston Astros v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.93 lost leg 3: Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.70 lost | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 7.04 | $12.08 | +25% | -2.00 | lost |
Houston Astros win in Houston Astros v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.93 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.93 | $9.32 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox win | 51% | 2.01 |
| Houston Astros win | 49% | 6.74 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox win | 1.86 | 1.14 | -38.8% | |
| Houston Astros win | 1.88 | 6.74 | +258.7% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Houston Astros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Houston Astros | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1505.83 | 1503.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.40 | 1.72 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.40 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.00 |