← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Aug 29, 06:10 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: St. Louis Cardinals win in St. Louis Cardinals v Pittsburgh Pirates · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.07 won leg 2: Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.40 won leg 3: Chicago White Sox win in Minnesota Twins v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.09 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 10.40 | $18.81 | +27% | +18.81 | won |
Chicago White Sox win in Minnesota Twins v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.09 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.09 | $10.95 | +6% | +10.95 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins win | 53% | 2.66 |
| Chicago White Sox win | 47% | 2.09 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox win | 1.83 | 2.05 | +12.3% | |
| Minnesota Twins win | 1.83 | 1.79 | -1.8% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Minnesota Twins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Minnesota Twins | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1456.50 | 1508.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.17 | 6.12 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.70 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.90 |